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How to Know When Markets are Panicky

by adrian tout | Mar 6, 2025 | Investing Lessons, S&P500, VIX

Words: 986 Time: 4 Minutes Markets are not yet in a panic – only 6% off their highs Assessing the VIX for ‘real fear’ Key levels I’ll be watching to add more exposure Are markets panicking? That depends on who you ask. What’s your...

How Far Will Multiple Expansion Take Us?

by adrian tout | Mar 3, 2025 | Bubbles, Forecasting, S&P500, Valuations

Words: 1,347 Time: 6 Minutes The divergence between EPS and price appreciation widens S&P 500 monthly chart shows how momentum is fading Why 5,000 for the S&P 500 is not unrealistic At the end of every month – I check in with the monthly chart for the...

How Buffett Built a $1.1 Trillion Cash Machine

by adrian tout | Feb 28, 2025 | Investing Lessons, Valuations, Warren Buffett

Words: 1,391 Time: 7 Minutes There’s a good reason Buffett has $330+ Billion in cash One way to assess the quality of your own portfolio Market’s are yet to sell off… despite the headlines Markets are worried. They are worried about inflation,...

Nvidia is Cheaper… But Not Cheap

by adrian tout | Feb 27, 2025 | AI, Magnificent Seven, NVDA, Valuations

Words: 1,184 Time: 6 Minutes Nvidia tanks 8.5% despite 78% sales growth Quality is half the equation – what matters more is what you pay Market continues to lose momentum After the market closed yesterday – the poster-child for artificial intelligence...

Buffett: “Often, Nothing looks Compelling”

by adrian tout | Feb 22, 2025 | Investing Lessons, Valuations, Warren Buffett

Words: 2,516 Time: 11 Minutes What qualities Buffett has that most managers don’t It’s been 20 years since his cash position overtook equities; and The smartest person looks like an idiot when positioned poorly I had Saturday Feb 22nd circled on my...
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