Relief Rally on ‘Expected’ Fed MoveThe Fed's $1.44T QE program is going to end in a few months. Great news... but I would argue 6-9 months too late. They caused a bubble in speculative assets (which will bust) - not to mention stoking dangerous levels of unwanted inflation.
Stocks Rebound… With “Big Tech” UpgradedAre the lows in before Christmas That's hard to know. Stocks have rallied strongly to start the week after last week's ~5.2% pullback. It's been 'higher-risk' names leading the rebound... with the Russell 2000 and tech surging.
Ready to Buy the Dip?Of late, investors focused on risks surrounding unwanted inflation, central bank tightening and supply-chain snarls. The VIX lingered below 15 - a sign of complacency and what I felt was over-confidence. Overnight that changed...
Big Tech Breaks Out… Two More Quality Stocks to WatchTwo recent additions to my portfolio are up 16.2% and 14.5% respectively... but I think there's a lot more to go. My largest portfolio position - Google - is up over 65% this year. Google has probably been the stand-out performer of the 5 for 2021...
Buyable Dip Followed by Another RallyMy most recent post concluded with the thesis that stocks are headed higher. Two good reasons: (1) Interest rates likely to remain at negative in real terms (which is inflationary); and (2) cash is likely to lose 5%+ over the next year...
Expect a Strong Close to 2021Despite the crash in March last year - 2020 finished the year with 16% gains. Therefore, it's remarkable to think the subsequent year is more than likely to deliver an incremental 20%+ return. It makes you question what 2022 will return?
FB, GOOG and MSFT Report – What Did we Learn?This post looks at the latest results for Alphabet (Google); Facebook and Microsoft. In short, each of these stocks deserves a solid place in your long-term portfolio.
Markets Rally as Economy SlowsMarkets have a "Q4 spring" in their step. After a bit of a September swoon - the most volatile month of the year (on average) - has started well... higher prices look likely
Chinese Stocks: Ultra-High Risk… But is this Trade Worth It?Trading and investing is very much about understanding the risk vs the reward. In fact, it's far more about the former than the latter. What can potentially go wrong with this trade? How much do I stand to lose if things don't work out? Can I afford to take that risk? That's your basic equation with any investment. Gold, bonds, property, stocks... you name it. For e.g., staying in cash carries risk - as it will lose at least 5% of its value over the next 12+ months.
Trading Per the ScriptOctober is certainly one of the more 'opportunistic' months of the year (in my view) - however it comes with a bad rap. October is a whopping 36% more volatile than the other months (on average). But don't let volatility like today scare you...
