Category Investing Lessons

20%+ Sell-Off Great News for Patient Investors

A 20%+ sell off isn't a time to worry... quite the opposite... it's a time to get excited and to sharpen your pencils. The Fed is about to gift us a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity...

Bear Market Bounce… Then Down Post Earnings

This market narrative is very much "fire" and "ice" - according to Mike Wilson at MS. "Fire" from the Fed on inflation; and "ice" in terms of lower earnings...

Time to Lengthen Your Time Horizons

Jamie Dimon - CEO of JPMorgan Chase -told the market to brace for an economic hurricane. There's weight to his comment - however it will be a great long-term buying opportunity if correct.

Market Still has Work to Do

The market is likely to experience a technical short-term bounce. But don't expect it to be sustained. Whilst we may have formed "a low" - I don't think it's "the low" for 2022... here's why

What Markets are Trying to Figure Out

Markets are working hard to try and calibrate a rapidly changing environment. Target and Walmart warned how things have turned sharply over the past quarter. And today it was SNAPs turn...

Near-Term Bounce – Followed by Retest of Lows 

With the S&P 500 trading a smidge below 20% off its high this week... and the Nasdaq firmly in "bear market" territory... it's my view that equities represent far better risk/reward than they did earlier this year. In fact, some are as attractive as I've seen in over a decade (and why I added to select positions this week)

12 Stocks to Own on any “Panic Selling”

If you are investing today - you need to remain extremely selective with stocks. Look at the decimation in names like Facebook and Netflix. This post offers my checklist when selecting a stock....

Why It Makes Sense to Buy “Peak Fear”

This post examines the annual returns on the S&P 500 if buying when the VIX hits (a) 35 and (b) 45 (i.e. peak fear). In summary, it pays the buy when everyone is selling....

What Typically Happens after Rate Rises?

This post looks at how equities have reacted over the past 40 years to the initial rate rise from the Fed. In short, markets generally react positively to the first rate hikes... averaging more than 6% gains in the first 6 months.

Chinese Stocks: Ultra-High Risk… But is this Trade Worth It?

Trading and investing is very much about understanding the risk vs the reward. In fact, it's far more about the former than the latter. What can potentially go wrong with this trade? How much do I stand to lose if things don't work out? Can I afford to take that risk? That's your basic equation with any investment. Gold, bonds, property, stocks... you name it. For e.g., staying in cash carries risk - as it will lose at least 5% of its value over the next 12+ months.