Remain Vigilant When Adding RiskOver the next few weeks we will hear how US companies navigated a difficult Q2. More importantly, we will also receive guidance looking forward. This will lead to analysts lowering their earnings targets... something the stock market is yet to price in.
Here’s What We Still Need to SeeThere are three primary things we still need to see before we can confidently claim we are close to a market bottom in 2022... the first is a pivot from the Fed.
Bear Market Lessons… and is Property About to Plunge?Be careful of any bear market rally - they are usually quite sharp. This post looks at the numerous "10-20%" rallies we saw during 2000 and 2008... and outlines what we need to see to know the bottom "is in"
Why Markets Crash; and Why It Spells OpportunityWhy do markets crash? And how do you identify the likelihood of downside risk before it happens? And when it happens - how do you know when to get back in?
The Bear Roars… Markets Price in 75 bps HikeWhen it comes to the market - there are (a) times to make money; and (b) times not to lose money. Now is the time for the latter... the past decade was the time for the former.
20%+ Sell-Off Great News for Patient InvestorsA 20%+ sell off isn't a time to worry... quite the opposite... it's a time to get excited and to sharpen your pencils. The Fed is about to gift us a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity...
Bear Market Bounce… Then Down Post EarningsThis market narrative is very much "fire" and "ice" - according to Mike Wilson at MS. "Fire" from the Fed on inflation; and "ice" in terms of lower earnings...
Time to Lengthen Your Time HorizonsJamie Dimon - CEO of JPMorgan Chase -told the market to brace for an economic hurricane. There's weight to his comment - however it will be a great long-term buying opportunity if correct.
Market Still has Work to DoThe market is likely to experience a technical short-term bounce. But don't expect it to be sustained. Whilst we may have formed "a low" - I don't think it's "the low" for 2022... here's why
What Markets are Trying to Figure OutMarkets are working hard to try and calibrate a rapidly changing environment. Target and Walmart warned how things have turned sharply over the past quarter. And today it was SNAPs turn...
